The US Census Bureau publishes the deciding data in its New Residential Sales report, and the deciding value is the month-over-month percentage change in the median sales price of new houses sold in the US for November 2026, as stated in the report's Sales Price section. The outcome is Yes if that change matches the outcome specified in the market question, either the direction of change (an increase, no change or a decrease) or a change above the value specified, and No otherwise. The value becomes final when the Census Bureau publishes that report, typically on the 17th business day of the month at 9:00 AM CT, and early resolution does not apply. If the Census Bureau delays the report, resolution waits until it is published.

The US Census Bureau publishes the deciding data in its New Residential Sales report, and the deciding value is the month-over-month percentage change in the median sales price of new houses sold in the US for November 2026, as stated in the report's Sales Price section. The outcome is Yes if that change matches the outcome specified in the market question, either the direction of change (an increase, no change or a decrease) or a change above the value specified, and No otherwise. The value becomes final when the Census Bureau publishes that report, typically on the 17th business day of the month at 9:00 AM CT, and early resolution does not apply. If the Census Bureau delays the report, resolution waits until it is published.