Yes65%
No35%
Sep 14Sep 21Sep 29Oct 6Oct 14
100%75%50%25%0%
The deciding value is the Freight Transportation Services Index published by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) in its monthly Transportation Services Index release for December 2026, shown in the release's first box for that month and index. The outcome is Yes if the reported index is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final at 8:00 AM CT when BTS releases the index, typically in the second week of the month, two months after December 2026. Early resolution does not apply, and if BTS delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.
The Transportation Services Index measures the volume of services provided by the US transportation sector, tracking the movement of cargo and passengers across modes such as air travel, railroads, trucking, and public transit. The measure is the freight index value for December 2026.
The deciding value is the Freight Transportation Services Index published by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) in its monthly Transportation Services Index release for December 2026, shown in the release's first box for that month and index. The outcome is Yes if the reported index is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final at 8:00 AM CT when BTS releases the index, typically in the second week of the month, two months after December 2026. Early resolution does not apply, and if BTS delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.
The Transportation Services Index measures the volume of services provided by the US transportation sector, tracking the movement of cargo and passengers across modes such as air travel, railroads, trucking, and public transit. The measure is the freight index value for December 2026.