The deciding value is the Total World figure in the Carbon Dioxide Emissions From Energy table, in the Carbon section of the Energy Institute's Statistical Review of World Energy, in million metric tons, for 2026. The outcome is Yes if the reported emissions are above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final at 4:00 PM CT on the day the Energy Institute publishes the Statistical Review covering 2026, which appears annually, typically in June of the following year. Early resolution does not apply, and if the Energy Institute delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.

The deciding value is the Total World figure in the Carbon Dioxide Emissions From Energy table, in the Carbon section of the Energy Institute's Statistical Review of World Energy, in million metric tons, for 2026. The outcome is Yes if the reported emissions are above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final at 4:00 PM CT on the day the Energy Institute publishes the Statistical Review covering 2026, which appears annually, typically in June of the following year. Early resolution does not apply, and if the Energy Institute delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.