As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:34 am ET, Lumina’s “Helion Energy Power Plant in Operation by the End of 2028” market prices Yes at 29%.
Chart
Outcomes
Rules
The deciding information is consistent reporting by at least three of the Associated Press, Reuters, Agence France-Presse, The New York Times, and The Washington Post that explicitly states Helion Energy has placed a power plant into commercial operation or has begun commercial power generation. Commercial operation means producing electricity for commercial use rather than solely for experimental, pilot, demonstration, or test purposes. The outcome is Yes if that reporting standard is met by 11:59 PM CT on the last day of 2028 and No otherwise, and it may be determined early once the standard is met. If the source delays publishing information needed for resolution, resolution waits until it is published.
About
Helion Energy is developing fusion power technology intended to produce electricity commercially. The measure is whether Helion Energy has placed a power plant into commercial operation or begun commercial power generation by the end of 2028, with commercial operation meaning the production of electricity for commercial use.
Questions and Answers
What does the “Helion Energy Power Plant in Operation by the End of 2028” market ask?
Helion Energy Power Plant in Operation by the End of 2028? It trades as one Yes/No contract: Yes pays $1 if the answer is yes, and No pays $1 if it is no.
What are the current odds for “Helion Energy Power Plant in Operation by the End of 2028”?
As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:34 am ET, Lumina’s “Helion Energy Power Plant in Operation by the End of 2028” market prices Yes at 29%.
What does the Yes price mean in the “Helion Energy Power Plant in Operation by the End of 2028” market?
As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:34 am ET, Yes trades at 29¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 29¢ shows as 29%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.
How active is the “Helion Energy Power Plant in Operation by the End of 2028” market?
As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:34 am ET, open interest is $20.
When does trading close on “Helion Energy Power Plant in Operation by the End of 2028”?
Trading closes and the outcome resolves on Jan 1, 2029, 12:59 am ET, and payout is projected for Jan 1, 2029, 2:59 am ET.
How does “Helion Energy Power Plant in Operation by the End of 2028” resolve, and from which source?
The deciding information is consistent reporting by at least three of the Associated Press, Reuters, Agence France-Presse, The New York Times, and The Washington Post that explicitly states Helion Energy has placed a power plant into commercial operation or has begun commercial power generation. Commercial operation means producing electricity for commercial use rather than solely for experimental, pilot, demonstration, or test purposes. The outcome is Yes if that reporting standard is met by 11:59 PM CT on the last day of 2028 and No otherwise, and it may be determined early once the standard is met. If the source delays publishing information needed for resolution, resolution waits until it is published. The resolution source is Associated Press, Reuters, Agence France-Presse, The New York Times, and The Washington Post.
What are the fees?
In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.
How do I trade “Helion Energy Power Plant in Operation by the End of 2028”?
Choose Yes or No and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.
Can I follow this market without trading?
Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.
What is Lumina Markets?
Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.
