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Japan Real GDP Growth in Q3 2027?

Chart

Above -2.0%—
Above -1.5%—
Above -1.0%—
Above -0.5%—
Oct 12Oct 20Oct 27Nov 4Nov 11
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Above -2.0%
0%—
Above -1.5%
0%—
Above -1.0%
0%—
Above -0.5%
0%—
Above 0.0%
0%—
Above 0.5%
0%—
Above 1.0%
0%—
Above 1.5%
0%—
Above 2.0%
0%—

Rules

Japan's official national statistics agency publishes the deciding data in its official quarterly GDP release, and the deciding value is real GDP growth for Q3 2027, measured as the plain quarter-over-quarter percent change, not an annualized rate. The outcome is Yes if that value exceeds the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the initial figure from the flash, preliminary or first release counts, later revisions do not affect the outcome, and early resolution does not apply. If the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

About

Real GDP is the inflation-adjusted value of the final goods and services an economy produces. The event is the real GDP growth of Japan for Q3 2027, measured as the quarter-over-quarter change.

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