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Las Vegas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:21 am ET, Lumina’s “Las Vegas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026” market prices "Below 56" at 63% and "Below 55" at 28%.

Chart

Below 5891%
Below 5663%
Below 5528%
Below 5421%
Oct 15Oct 22Oct 30Nov 7Nov 14
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Below 58
0%91%
Below 56
0%63%
Below 55
0%28%
Below 54
0%21%
Below 52
0%13%
Below 53
0%11%
Below 50
0%10%
Below 51
0%10%
Below 49
0%8%
Below 57
0%—
Below 59
0%—

Rules

This market resolves against the lowest daily temperature recorded for the designated Las Vegas station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 14, 2026. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored.

About

Las Vegas's daily temperature low is the lowest air temperature the city reaches over a single calendar day. The temperature is measured in degrees Fahrenheit.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Questions and Answers

What does the “Las Vegas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026” market ask?

Las Vegas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Below 56” pays $1 if the result is below 56, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 11 thresholds, from “Below 49” to “Below 59”.

What are the current odds for “Las Vegas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026”?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:21 am ET, Lumina’s “Las Vegas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026” market prices "Below 56" at 63% and "Below 55" at 28%.

What does the price of "Below 56" mean in the “Las Vegas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026” market?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:21 am ET, a Yes contract on "Below 56" trades at 63¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 63¢ shows as 63%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

How active is the “Las Vegas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026” market?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:21 am ET, open interest is $102, and $321 has traded in the current session.

When does trading close on “Las Vegas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026”?

Trading closes on Nov 15, 2026, 2:59 am ET. The outcome resolves on Nov 15, 2026, 4:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 15, 2026, 6:00 am ET.

How does “Las Vegas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026” resolve, and from which source?

This market resolves against the lowest daily temperature recorded for the designated Las Vegas station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 14, 2026. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored. The resolution source is Weather Underground.

What are the fees?

In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.

How do I trade “Las Vegas Daily Temperature Low on November 14, 2026”?

Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.

Can I follow this market without trading?

Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.

What is Lumina Markets?

Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.

Lumina Markets Inc. is an introducing broker registered with the CFTC and a member of NFA (ID 0576536). Customer orders are introduced to Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries customer accounts. Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx LLC, a CFTC-designated contract market and a subsidiary of Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.

Trading event contracts involves substantial risk of loss and is not appropriate for all customers. A contract that resolves against you settles at zero, and you can lose the entire amount you paid, including fees. Available to US persons 21 and over.

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