Minneapolis-Saint Paul Daily Temperature High on November 13, 2026?

Minneapolis-Saint Paul Daily Temperature High on November 13, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 38” pays $1 if the result is above 38, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 11 thresholds, from “Above 34” to “Above 44”.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:34 am ET, Lumina’s “Minneapolis-Saint Paul Daily Temperature High on November 13, 2026” market prices "Above 38" at 65%.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:34 am ET, the prices put the result above 38 but not above 39 at 29%, the most likely band on the ladder.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:34 am ET, a Yes contract on "Above 38" trades at 65¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 65¢ shows as 65%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:34 am ET, open interest is $226, and $477 has traded in the current session.

Trading closes on Nov 14, 2026, 12:59 am ET. The outcome resolves on Nov 14, 2026, 2:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 14, 2026, 4:00 am ET.

This market resolves against the maximum daily temperature recorded for the designated Minneapolis-Saint Paul station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 13, 2026. A contract resolves to Yes only if that day's recorded high strictly exceeds its specific threshold; a recorded high equal to the threshold itself does not satisfy "exceed" and resolves to No. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored. The resolution source is Weather Underground.

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