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Monthly Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide in January 2027?

Chart

Above 427—
Above 428—
Above 429—
Above 430—
Oct 3Oct 11Oct 18Oct 26Nov 2
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Above 427
0%—
Above 428
0%—
Above 429
0%—
Above 430
0%—
Above 431
0%—

Rules

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) publishes the deciding data in its monthly "Trends in Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide, Mauna Loa" report. The deciding value is the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration at Mauna Loa for January 2027, in parts per million (ppm), and the outcome is Yes if it is greater than the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when NOAA publishes that report, by 8:00 AM CT on the fifth day of the month after January 2027, and early resolution does not apply. If NOAA delays the report, resolution waits until it is published.

About

Atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration is the amount of carbon dioxide in the air, expressed in parts per million (ppm). The event is the average concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere over January 2027 as measured at Mauna Loa in Hawaii.

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