Chart
Outcomes
Rules
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) publishes the deciding value in its Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) release, typically at 7:30 AM CT on its scheduled release date, and the value used is the year-over-year percentage change in the not seasonally adjusted Rent of Primary Residence index for New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA, the BLS area whose name begins with the city named in the market question. The outcome is Yes if that change for November 2026 is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is not determined early and becomes final when BLS releases the CPI data for November 2026, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
About
Rent of primary residence is the amount tenants pay to rent the home they live in, and it is tracked as one part of consumer prices. The measure is the year-over-year percentage change in rent of primary residence for New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA in November 2026.
Questions and Answers
What does the “New York City Rent Price Change in November 2026” market ask?
New York City Rent Price Change in November 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 0.0%” pays $1 if the result is above 0.0%, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 9 thresholds, from “Above 0.0%” to “Above 8.0%”.
What does a Yes contract pay, and what does its price mean?
Each percentage is a contract’s last traded price. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so one trading at 62¢ shows as 62%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.
When does trading close on “New York City Rent Price Change in November 2026”?
Trading closes and the outcome resolves on Dec 10, 2026, 8:30 am ET, and payout is projected for Dec 10, 2026, 10:30 am ET.
How does “New York City Rent Price Change in November 2026” resolve, and from which source?
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) publishes the deciding value in its Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) release, typically at 7:30 AM CT on its scheduled release date, and the value used is the year-over-year percentage change in the not seasonally adjusted Rent of Primary Residence index for New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA, the BLS area whose name begins with the city named in the market question. The outcome is Yes if that change for November 2026 is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is not determined early and becomes final when BLS releases the CPI data for November 2026, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. The resolution source is Bureau of Labor Statistics.
What are the fees?
In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.
How do I trade “New York City Rent Price Change in November 2026”?
Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.
Can I follow this market without trading?
Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.
What is Lumina Markets?
Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.
