The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) publishes the deciding data in the Federal Reserve Policy Statement released at 1:00 PM CT at the conclusion of each scheduled FOMC meeting. The deciding value is the cumulative number of federal funds target rate cuts, measured in 25 basis point increments, announced at scheduled FOMC meetings during 2026, so a 50 basis point reduction counts as two cuts, as do 25 basis point cuts at two different meetings. The outcome is Yes if that total is exactly the number specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome becomes final at 1:00 PM CT at the conclusion of the final scheduled FOMC meeting of 2026, early resolution does not apply, and if the policy statement is delayed, resolution waits until it is released.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) publishes the deciding data in the Federal Reserve Policy Statement released at 1:00 PM CT at the conclusion of each scheduled FOMC meeting. The deciding value is the cumulative number of federal funds target rate cuts, measured in 25 basis point increments, announced at scheduled FOMC meetings during 2026, so a 50 basis point reduction counts as two cuts, as do 25 basis point cuts at two different meetings. The outcome is Yes if that total is exactly the number specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome becomes final at 1:00 PM CT at the conclusion of the final scheduled FOMC meeting of 2026, early resolution does not apply, and if the policy statement is delayed, resolution waits until it is released.