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Skip to main content
Help Center (opens in new tab)

Yes65%
No35%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Privacy PolicyYour Privacy ChoicesTerms of UseLegalHelp Centerhello@luminamarkets.com

© 2026 Lumina Markets

Oregon Senate Winner?
Oregon Senate Winner?
Oregon Senate Winner?
Politics•USA

Oregon Senate Winner?

$0 Vol.

Chart

Jeff Merkley96%
David Brock Smith3%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Oregon PoliticsUs Senate ElectionsUs General Election

Outcomes

Jeff Merkley
0%96%
David Brock Smith
0%3%

Rules

Resolution follows the results published by the Oregon state election authority, and the winner is whoever is officially declared to have prevailed under that state's election law. Where a contest goes to a runoff, only the runoff winner resolves Yes - advancing to one does not. What happens if a candidate stops running depends on what the contract references: a contract on a political party follows that party's official nominee and transfers automatically to a replacement if the nominee withdraws, is disqualified, or stops seeking the office, while a contract on a named individual or on a party's primary winner resolves No in those circumstances. Settlement may occur before certification once major news organizations have consistently called the race, or once all votes are reported and the margin sits outside the statutory recount threshold, in each case only where no recount or legal challenge is outstanding. If the election is cancelled, replaced by a different process, or materially changed so the outcome cannot be determined, the contract resolves No.

Market rules (opens in new tab)

About

The Oregon senate general election decides which candidate holds one of the state's two senate seats for a six-year term. Voters choose among the parties' nominees and any other candidates who qualify for the ballot, and the winner is whoever prevails under Oregon state election law.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Related

Oregon Senate Winner?
Oregon Senate Winner?
Oregon Senate Winner?
Politics•USA

Oregon Senate Winner?

$0 Vol.

Chart

Jeff Merkley96%
David Brock Smith3%
Aug 31Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Sep 30
100%75%50%25%0%
Oregon PoliticsUs Senate ElectionsUs General Election

Outcomes

Jeff Merkley
0%96%
David Brock Smith
0%3%

Rules

Resolution follows the results published by the Oregon state election authority, and the winner is whoever is officially declared to have prevailed under that state's election law. Where a contest goes to a runoff, only the runoff winner resolves Yes - advancing to one does not. What happens if a candidate stops running depends on what the contract references: a contract on a political party follows that party's official nominee and transfers automatically to a replacement if the nominee withdraws, is disqualified, or stops seeking the office, while a contract on a named individual or on a party's primary winner resolves No in those circumstances. Settlement may occur before certification once major news organizations have consistently called the race, or once all votes are reported and the margin sits outside the statutory recount threshold, in each case only where no recount or legal challenge is outstanding. If the election is cancelled, replaced by a different process, or materially changed so the outcome cannot be determined, the contract resolves No.

Market rules (opens in new tab)

About

The Oregon senate general election decides which candidate holds one of the state's two senate seats for a six-year term. Voters choose among the parties' nominees and any other candidates who qualify for the ballot, and the winner is whoever prevails under Oregon state election law.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Related