Paris Daily Temperature High on November 14, 2026?

Paris Daily Temperature High on November 14, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 9” pays $1 if the result is above 9, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 9 thresholds, from “Above 5” to “Above 13”.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:33 am ET, Lumina’s “Paris Daily Temperature High on November 14, 2026” market prices "Above 9" at 55% and "Above 10" at 21%.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:33 am ET, the prices put the result above 8 but not above 9 at 35%, the most likely band on the ladder.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:33 am ET, a Yes contract on "Above 9" trades at 55¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 55¢ shows as 55%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 9:33 am ET, open interest is $20, and $40 has traded in the current session.

Trading closes on Nov 14, 2026, 5:59 pm ET. The outcome resolves on Nov 14, 2026, 7:00 pm ET, and payout is projected for Nov 14, 2026, 9:00 pm ET.

This market resolves against the maximum daily temperature recorded for the designated Paris station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 14, 2026. A contract resolves to Yes only if that day's recorded high strictly exceeds its specific threshold; a recorded high equal to the threshold itself does not satisfy "exceed" and resolves to No. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored. The resolution source is Weather Underground.

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