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Southern US CPI in December 2026?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:34 pm ET, Lumina’s “Southern US CPI in December 2026” market prices "Above 325" at 51% and "Above 326" at 41%.

Chart

Above 30898%
Above 30998%
Above 31098%
Above 31198%
Oct 16Oct 23Oct 30Nov 7Nov 15
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Above 308
0%98%
Above 309
0%98%
Above 310
0%98%
Above 311
0%98%
Above 313
0%98%
Above 314
0%98%
Above 315
2%98%
Above 312
0%97%
Above 317
2%97%
Above 318
2%97%
Above 319
4%97%
Above 316
0%96%
Above 320
12%96%
Above 322
4%91%
Above 321
4%86%
Above 323
4%80%
Above 324
4%73%
Above 325
4%51%
Above 326
5%41%
Above 327
4%20%
Above 328
0%—
Above 329
0%—
Above 330
0%—
Above 331
0%—
Above 332
0%—

Rules

The outcome is determined using the Consumer Price Index Database for All Urban Consumers (Current Series), published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, specifically the Southern US, all-items, Not Seasonally Adjusted CPI series. The deciding number is the index level for the month, not a percent change. The outcome is Yes if that index level is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise; resolution occurs when the BLS releases the CPI data at 7:30 AM CT on January 13, 2027, subject to any delay, schedule change, or review under the contract terms, and this contract is not subject to early resolution.

About

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) tracks what consumers pay for a fixed basket of goods and services. The relevant CPI measure is the Southern US CPI index level, unadjusted and for all items, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Questions and Answers

What does the “Southern US CPI in December 2026” market ask?

Southern US CPI in December 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 325” pays $1 if the result is above 325, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 25 thresholds, from “Above 308” to “Above 332”.

What are the current odds for “Southern US CPI in December 2026”?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:34 pm ET, Lumina’s “Southern US CPI in December 2026” market prices "Above 325" at 51% and "Above 326" at 41%.

How have the odds moved for “Southern US CPI in December 2026”?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:34 pm ET, "Above 325" is at 51%, up 4 points from the prior trading day’s close.

Which range is most likely for “Southern US CPI in December 2026”?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:34 pm ET, the prices put the result above 324 but not above 325 at 22%, the most likely band on the ladder.

What does the price of "Above 325" mean in the “Southern US CPI in December 2026” market?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:34 pm ET, a Yes contract on "Above 325" trades at 51¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 51¢ shows as 51%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

How active is the “Southern US CPI in December 2026” market?

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:34 pm ET, open interest is $3.2K.

When does trading close on “Southern US CPI in December 2026”?

Trading closes and the outcome resolves on Jan 13, 2027, 8:30 am ET, and payout is projected for Jan 13, 2027, 10:30 am ET.

How does “Southern US CPI in December 2026” resolve, and from which source?

The outcome is determined using the Consumer Price Index Database for All Urban Consumers (Current Series), published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, specifically the Southern US, all-items, Not Seasonally Adjusted CPI series. The deciding number is the index level for the month, not a percent change. The outcome is Yes if that index level is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise; resolution occurs when the BLS releases the CPI data at 7:30 AM CT on January 13, 2027, subject to any delay, schedule change, or review under the contract terms, and this contract is not subject to early resolution. The resolution source is Bureau of Labor Statistics.

What are the fees?

In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.

How do I trade “Southern US CPI in December 2026”?

Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.

Can I follow this market without trading?

Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.

What is Lumina Markets?

Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.

Lumina Markets Inc. is an introducing broker registered with the CFTC and a member of NFA (ID 0576536). Customer orders are introduced to Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries customer accounts. Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx LLC, a CFTC-designated contract market and a subsidiary of Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.

Trading event contracts involves substantial risk of loss and is not appropriate for all customers. A contract that resolves against you settles at zero, and you can lose the entire amount you paid, including fees. Available to US persons 21 and over.

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