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Top AI Model at the End of October 2026?

Chart

Fable 5 high34%
Opus 4.6 high—
Opus 4.7 high—
Spark 1.2 xHigh—
Sep 30Oct 7Oct 15Oct 22Oct 30
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Fable 5 high
0%34%
Opus 4.6 high
0%—
Opus 4.7 high
0%—
Spark 1.2 xHigh
0%—
Fable 5.1 max
0%—
Gemini 3.8 flash high
0%—

Rules

LMArena publishes the deciding data on the LM Arena Text Arena leaderboard, and the value used is the model listed in first position in the Text Arena Overall rankings table. Only the rankings shown at 1:00 PM CT on the final day of October 2026 count, and each outcome is Yes if the model named in that outcome is ranked first at that time and No otherwise. If two or more models are tied for first, the tie is broken using, in order, the higher overall rank in the Text Arena, the higher overall score, the lowest sum of ranks across all categories, and the highest sum of scores across all categories. Early resolution does not apply, and if the leaderboard data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

About

Public rankings of AI language models place models in order based on how they perform in head-to-head comparisons. The event is which AI model holds the top position in the overall text model rankings of a public leaderboard at the end of October 2026.

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