Toronto Daily Temperature High on November 13, 2026?

Toronto Daily Temperature High on November 13, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 4” pays $1 if the result is above 4, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 9 thresholds, from “Above 0” to “Above 8”.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 10:47 am ET, Lumina’s “Toronto Daily Temperature High on November 13, 2026” market prices "Above 4" at 68% and "Above 5" at 23%.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 10:47 am ET, the prices put the result above 4 but not above 5 at 45%, the most likely band on the ladder.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 10:47 am ET, a Yes contract on "Above 4" trades at 68¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 68¢ shows as 68%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 10:47 am ET, open interest is $20, and $50 has traded in the current session.

Trading closes on Nov 13, 2026, 11:59 pm ET. The outcome resolves on Nov 14, 2026, 1:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 am ET.

This market resolves against the maximum daily temperature recorded for the designated Toronto station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 13, 2026. A contract resolves to Yes only if that day's recorded high strictly exceeds its specific threshold; a recorded high equal to the threshold itself does not satisfy "exceed" and resolves to No. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored. The resolution source is Weather Underground.

In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.

Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.

Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.

Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.