Yes65%
No35%
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Oct 1
100%75%50%25%0%
Chart
Above 11,0001%
Above 16,0001%
Above 21,0001%
Above 26,0001%
Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15Sep 23Oct 1
100%75%50%25%0%
Outcomes
Above 11,000
0%1%
Above 16,000
0%1%
Above 21,000
0%1%
Above 26,000
0%1%
Above 31,000
0%1%
Above 36,000
0%1%
Above 41,000
0%1%
Above 46,000
0%1%
Above 51,000
0%1%
Above 56,000
0%1%
Above 61,000
0%1%
Above 66,000
0%1%
Rules
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) publishes the deciding data in the Electric Power Monthly, shown in its Electricity Data Browser as Total Consumption for all sectors, and the deciding value is total consumption of natural gas for electricity generation in California for June 2027, in thousand Mcf, using only the initial reported figure. The outcome is Yes if that value is more than the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when EIA publishes the Electric Power Monthly with that month's data, typically in the last week of the month two months after June 2027, and early resolution does not apply. If EIA delays the release, resolution waits until it is published.
About
Fuel consumption for electricity generation is the amount of a fuel that power plants burn to produce electricity. The event is total consumption of natural gas for electricity generation across all sectors in California over a calendar month, measured in thousand Mcf.