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US Rail Freight Carloads in December 2027?

Chart

Above 680,000—
Above 720,000—
Above 760,000—
Above 800,000—
Oct 3Oct 11Oct 18Oct 26Nov 2
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Above 680,000
0%—
Above 720,000
0%—
Above 760,000
0%—
Above 800,000
0%—
Above 840,000
0%—
>880k
0%—
>920k
0%—
>960k
0%—
>1M
0%—
>1.04M
0%—
>1.08M
0%—
Above 1,120,000
0%—
Above 1,160,000
0%—

Rules

The outcome is decided by the Rail Freight Carloads value for December 2027 in the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) Transportation Services Index and Seasonally-Adjusted Transportation Data release, taken from the matching column of that dataset. The outcome is Yes if that figure is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is determined when BTS releases the index, typically at 8:00 AM CT in the second week of the month, about two months after December 2027. Early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

About

Rail freight volumes measure how much cargo moves across the US rail network. The measure is total US rail freight carloads for December 2027, counted as the number of rail cars loaded with freight.

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