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Total Household Debt in Q2 2027?

Chart

Above 18.4—
Above 18.5—
Above 18.6—
Above 18.7—
Oct 12Oct 20Oct 27Nov 4Nov 11
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Above 18.4
0%—
Above 18.5
0%—
Above 18.6
0%—
Above 18.7
0%—
Above 18.8
0%—
Above 18.9
0%—
Above 19
0%—
Above 19.1
0%—
Above 19.2
0%—

Rules

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York publishes the deciding value in its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit, typically at about 10:00 AM CT on its scheduled release date, and the value used is the total household debt level stated in the paragraph under the HOUSEHOLD DEBT AND CREDIT REPORT title on the report page, not in downloaded report files. The outcome is Yes if that balance for Q2 2027 is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is not determined early and becomes final at 10:00 AM CT when the report for that quarter is published, and revisions, corrections, or updates published after resolution are not considered. If the report is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

About

Household debt is the money US households owe across mortgages, auto loans, credit cards, student loans, and other borrowing. The event is the total household debt balance for Q2 2027, measured in US dollars.

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