UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition in 2026?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:13 am ET, Lumina’s “UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition in 2026” market prices ">54k" at 52% and ">55k" at 28%.
Chart
Outcomes
Rules
The National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) publishes the deciding data through the Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS) Institutional Characteristics Survey, shown in the NCES College Navigator under Tuition, Fees, and Estimated Student Expenses, and the deciding value is the out-of-state tuition for the University of California, Berkeley. NCES reports each academic year as a two-year range, and the year in the market question refers to the second year of that range, so 2026 means the 2025-2026 academic year. The outcome is Yes if the reported value is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the preliminary (provisional) figure from the Winter IPEDS release is used, and later revisions, corrections, or final IPEDS releases do not affect the outcome. The outcome is determined when NCES releases that Winter IPEDS data, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
About
Tuition is the price a college charges for instruction before financial aid, and public universities charge a higher out-of-state rate to students who are not residents of their state. The measure is the out-of-state tuition at the University of California, Berkeley for a given academic year, in US dollars.
Questions and Answers
What does the “UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition in 2026” market ask?
UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition in 2026? It lists 10 outcomes, from “>49k” to “>58k”, and each one trades as its own Yes/No contract.
What are the current odds for “UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition in 2026”?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:13 am ET, Lumina’s “UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition in 2026” market prices ">54k" at 52% and ">55k" at 28%.
How have the odds moved for “UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition in 2026”?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:13 am ET, ">54k" is at 52%, up 4 points from the prior trading day’s close.
What does the price of ">54k" mean in the “UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition in 2026” market?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:13 am ET, a Yes contract on ">54k" trades at 52¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 52¢ shows as 52%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.
How active is the “UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition in 2026” market?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:13 am ET, open interest is $19K.
When does trading close on “UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition in 2026”?
Trading closes and the outcome resolves on Dec 9, 2026, 8:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Dec 9, 2026, 10:00 am ET.
How does “UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition in 2026” resolve, and from which source?
The National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) publishes the deciding data through the Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS) Institutional Characteristics Survey, shown in the NCES College Navigator under Tuition, Fees, and Estimated Student Expenses, and the deciding value is the out-of-state tuition for the University of California, Berkeley. NCES reports each academic year as a two-year range, and the year in the market question refers to the second year of that range, so 2026 means the 2025-2026 academic year. The outcome is Yes if the reported value is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the preliminary (provisional) figure from the Winter IPEDS release is used, and later revisions, corrections, or final IPEDS releases do not affect the outcome. The outcome is determined when NCES releases that Winter IPEDS data, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. The resolution source is National Center for Education Statistics.
What are the fees?
In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.
How do I trade “UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition in 2026”?
Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.
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Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.
