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US Land Area in Drought on November 24, 2026?

Chart

Above 30.0%—
Above 32.0%—
Above 34.0%—
Above 36.0%—
Oct 12Oct 20Oct 27Nov 4Nov 11
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Above 30.0%
0%—
Above 32.0%
0%—
Above 34.0%
0%—
Above 36.0%
0%—
Above 38.0%
0%—
Above 40.0%
0%—
Above 42.0%
0%—
Above 44.0%
0%—
Above 46.0%
0%—
Above 48.0%
0%—
Above 50.0%
0%—

Rules

The deciding value is the percentage of total US land area in drought published by the US Drought Monitor, a joint effort of the National Drought Mitigation Center, the US Department of Agriculture, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The Monitor publishes every Thursday at 7:30 AM CT, and each release covers the week ending the preceding Tuesday. The outcome is Yes if the reported percentage in the release covering November 24, 2026 is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final at 7:30 AM CT when the US Drought Monitor publishes the weekly data covering November 24, 2026, and the outcome can resolve early if it becomes determinable. If the US Drought Monitor delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.

About

Drought is a prolonged period of abnormally low rainfall that leads to water shortages. The measure is the percentage of total US land area experiencing drought conditions as of November 24, 2026.

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