Yes65%
No35%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
The deciding value is the year-over-year percentage change in Core CPI, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy, published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) in its monthly Consumer Price Index report for December 2026. The outcome is Yes if the reported change is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when BLS publishes the report at 7:30 AM CT, typically in the second week of the month. Early resolution does not apply, and if BLS delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.
Core CPI measures the average change over time in the prices paid by US urban consumers for a market basket of goods and services, excluding food and energy. The event is the year-over-year percentage change in core CPI for December 2026.
The deciding value is the year-over-year percentage change in Core CPI, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items Less Food and Energy, published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) in its monthly Consumer Price Index report for December 2026. The outcome is Yes if the reported change is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when BLS publishes the report at 7:30 AM CT, typically in the second week of the month. Early resolution does not apply, and if BLS delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.
Core CPI measures the average change over time in the prices paid by US urban consumers for a market basket of goods and services, excluding food and energy. The event is the year-over-year percentage change in core CPI for December 2026.