Yes65%
No35%
Sep 14Sep 21Sep 29Oct 6Oct 14
100%75%50%25%0%
The deciding source is the Public Laws of the United States, as codified in the debt limit provision at 31 U.S.C. § 3101(b). The outcome is Yes if Congress enacts a public law that raises or suspends the debt ceiling before the resolution time, and No otherwise. Resolution is at 11:01 PM CT on the day before December 31, 2026, and the outcome can resolve early once a qualifying law is enacted. If the US Code shows a pending update from a newly enacted public law that affects the result, the outcome follows that enacted law. If publication of the enacted law is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
The US debt ceiling is the legal limit on the total amount the federal government is authorized to borrow, and it is set by Congress in US law. Changing it requires congressional action, and the event is whether Congress enacts a public law that raises or suspends the debt ceiling by December 31, 2026.
The deciding source is the Public Laws of the United States, as codified in the debt limit provision at 31 U.S.C. § 3101(b). The outcome is Yes if Congress enacts a public law that raises or suspends the debt ceiling before the resolution time, and No otherwise. Resolution is at 11:01 PM CT on the day before December 31, 2026, and the outcome can resolve early once a qualifying law is enacted. If the US Code shows a pending update from a newly enacted public law that affects the result, the outcome follows that enacted law. If publication of the enacted law is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
The US debt ceiling is the legal limit on the total amount the federal government is authorized to borrow, and it is set by Congress in US law. Changing it requires congressional action, and the event is whether Congress enacts a public law that raises or suspends the debt ceiling by December 31, 2026.