The deciding value is US field production of crude oil, in thousands of barrels per day, published by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) in its US Field Production of Crude Oil table for October 2026; EIA reports it as the daily average over the reference month. The outcome is Yes if the reported production is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final at 8:30 AM CT when EIA publishes the data, typically on the last business day of a month. Early resolution does not apply, and if EIA delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.

The deciding value is US field production of crude oil, in thousands of barrels per day, published by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) in its US Field Production of Crude Oil table for October 2026; EIA reports it as the daily average over the reference month. The outcome is Yes if the reported production is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final at 8:30 AM CT when EIA publishes the data, typically on the last business day of a month. Early resolution does not apply, and if EIA delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.