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US PPI Year-Over-Year Change in January 2027?

Chart

Above 1.6%—
Above 2.0%—
Above 2.4%—
Above 2.8%—
Oct 12Oct 20Oct 27Nov 4Nov 11
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Above 1.6%
0%—
Above 2.0%
0%—
Above 2.4%
0%—
Above 2.8%
0%—
Above 3.2%
0%—
Above 3.6%
0%—
Above 4.0%
0%—
Above 4.4%
0%—
Above 4.8%
0%—
Above 5.2%
0%—
Above 5.6%
0%—
Above 6.0%
0%—

Rules

The deciding value is the headline year-over-year percentage change in the US Producer Price Index (PPI), as stated in the last sentence of the first paragraph of the monthly PPI release from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), for January 2027. The outcome is Yes if the reported change is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when BLS publishes the release at 7:30 AM CT, typically on the 9th business day of the month. Early resolution does not apply, and if BLS delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.

About

The Producer Price Index measures the average change in the prices that domestic producers in the US receive for their goods and services. The measure is the year-over-year percentage change in the index for January 2027.

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