US Retail Sales of Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers in October 2026?
Chart
Outcomes
Rules
The outcome is decided by the seasonally adjusted monthly sales figure for Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers for October 2026, as published by the US Census Bureau in its Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services release (the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report), in Table 1, Estimated Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services, by Kind of Business, column (a) of the Adjusted section. The outcome is Yes if that figure, in millions of dollars, is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the initial release counts, and later revisions do not change the outcome. The outcome is determined when the report is released at 7:30 AM CT on its scheduled date, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
About
Retail sales are the dollar value of goods that retail businesses sell to consumers. The measure is total monthly US retail sales at Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers in October 2026, in millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted to remove regular calendar and holiday patterns.
Questions and Answers
What does the “US Retail Sales of Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers in October 2026” market ask?
US Retail Sales of Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers in October 2026? It lists 9 outcomes, from “>132k” to “>148k”, and each one trades as its own Yes/No contract.
What does a Yes contract pay, and what does its price mean?
Each percentage is a contract’s last traded price. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so one trading at 62¢ shows as 62%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.
When does trading close on “US Retail Sales of Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers in October 2026”?
Trading closes and the outcome resolves on Nov 17, 2026, 8:30 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 17, 2026, 10:30 am ET.
How does “US Retail Sales of Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers in October 2026” resolve, and from which source?
The outcome is decided by the seasonally adjusted monthly sales figure for Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers for October 2026, as published by the US Census Bureau in its Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services release (the Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report), in Table 1, Estimated Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services, by Kind of Business, column (a) of the Adjusted section. The outcome is Yes if that figure, in millions of dollars, is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the initial release counts, and later revisions do not change the outcome. The outcome is determined when the report is released at 7:30 AM CT on its scheduled date, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. The resolution source is US Census Bureau.
What are the fees?
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How do I trade “US Retail Sales of Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers in October 2026”?
Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.
Can I follow this market without trading?
Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.
What is Lumina Markets?
Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.
