Yes65%
No35%
Sep 14Sep 21Sep 29Oct 6Oct 14
100%75%50%25%0%

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) publishes the deciding value in its monthly Motor Vehicle Sales release, typically in the first week of the following month at 7:00 AM CT, and the value used is total vehicle sales in the Seasonally Adjusted at Annual Rates (Millions) column of the matching table in the Motor Vehicles dataset. The outcome is Yes if that value for December 2026 is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The first officially published value is used and later revisions are not considered, so the outcome becomes final when BEA releases the report for December 2026. Early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
Motor vehicle sales count the new vehicles sold in the US. The measure is total US vehicle sales for December 2026, expressed as a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) in millions of units.

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) publishes the deciding value in its monthly Motor Vehicle Sales release, typically in the first week of the following month at 7:00 AM CT, and the value used is total vehicle sales in the Seasonally Adjusted at Annual Rates (Millions) column of the matching table in the Motor Vehicles dataset. The outcome is Yes if that value for December 2026 is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The first officially published value is used and later revisions are not considered, so the outcome becomes final when BEA releases the report for December 2026. Early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
Motor vehicle sales count the new vehicles sold in the US. The measure is total US vehicle sales for December 2026, expressed as a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) in millions of units.