Skip to main content

US Total Vehicle Sales in January 2027?

Chart

Above 14.4—
Above 14.8—
Above 15.2—
Above 15.6—
Oct 12Oct 20Oct 27Nov 4Nov 11
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Above 14.4
0%—
Above 14.8
0%—
Above 15.2
0%—
Above 15.6
0%—
Above 16
0%—
Above 16.4
0%—
Above 16.8
0%—
Above 17.2
0%—
Above 17.6
0%—

Rules

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) publishes the deciding value in its monthly Motor Vehicle Sales release, typically in the first week of the following month at 7:00 AM CT, and the value used is total vehicle sales in the Seasonally Adjusted at Annual Rates (Millions) column of the matching table in the Motor Vehicles dataset. The outcome is Yes if that value for January 2027 is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The first officially published value is used and later revisions are not considered, so the outcome becomes final when BEA releases the report for January 2027. Early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

About

Motor vehicle sales count the new vehicles sold in the US. The measure is total US vehicle sales for January 2027, expressed as a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) in millions of units.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Lumina Markets Inc. is an introducing broker registered with the CFTC and a member of NFA (ID 0576536). Customer orders are introduced to Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries customer accounts. Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx LLC, a CFTC-designated contract market and a subsidiary of Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.

Trading event contracts involves substantial risk of loss and is not appropriate for all customers. A contract that resolves against you settles at zero, and you can lose the entire amount you paid, including fees. Available to US persons 21 and over.

© 2026 Lumina Markets Inc.