As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:17 pm ET, Lumina’s “Washington, D.C. Daily Temperature Low on November 15, 2026” market prices "Below 43" at 54% and "Below 42" at 42%.
Chart
Outcomes
Rules
This market resolves against the lowest daily temperature recorded for the designated Washington, D.C. station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 15, 2026. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored.
About
Washington, D.C.'s daily temperature low is the lowest air temperature the city reaches over a single calendar day. The temperature is measured in degrees Fahrenheit.
Questions and Answers
What does the “Washington, D.C. Daily Temperature Low on November 15, 2026” market ask?
Washington, D.C. Daily Temperature Low on November 15, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Below 43” pays $1 if the result is below 43, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 11 thresholds, from “Below 37” to “Below 47”.
What are the current odds for “Washington, D.C. Daily Temperature Low on November 15, 2026”?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:17 pm ET, Lumina’s “Washington, D.C. Daily Temperature Low on November 15, 2026” market prices "Below 43" at 54% and "Below 42" at 42%.
What does the price of "Below 43" mean in the “Washington, D.C. Daily Temperature Low on November 15, 2026” market?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:17 pm ET, a Yes contract on "Below 43" trades at 54¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 54¢ shows as 54%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.
How active is the “Washington, D.C. Daily Temperature Low on November 15, 2026” market?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:17 pm ET, open interest is $150, and $310 has traded in the current session.
When does trading close on “Washington, D.C. Daily Temperature Low on November 15, 2026”?
Trading closes on Nov 15, 2026, 11:59 pm ET. The outcome resolves on Nov 16, 2026, 1:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 16, 2026, 3:00 am ET.
How does “Washington, D.C. Daily Temperature Low on November 15, 2026” resolve, and from which source?
This market resolves against the lowest daily temperature recorded for the designated Washington, D.C. station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 15, 2026. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored. The resolution source is Weather Underground.
What are the fees?
In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.
How do I trade “Washington, D.C. Daily Temperature Low on November 15, 2026”?
Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.
Can I follow this market without trading?
Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.
What is Lumina Markets?
Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.
