Washington quarterly GDP growth in Q4 2026?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:32 pm ET, Lumina’s “Washington quarterly GDP growth in Q4 2026” market prices "Above 6.0%" at 50% and "Above 7.0%" at 42%.
Chart
Outcomes
Rules
The Bureau of Economic Analysis publishes the deciding value in the “Table SQGDP1. Quarterly GDP by State – Percent Change at Annual Rates From Preceding Period” report for Washington and the relevant quarter. For each listed threshold, the outcome is Yes if the report's corresponding percentage change in real GDP exceeds the value specified in the market question, and No otherwise. The value becomes final on March 27, 2027, when the report is released, subject to any changes or review permitted under the contract terms.
About
Gross domestic product (GDP) measures the value of goods and services produced in an economy. Washington's quarterly GDP growth is the quarter-over-quarter percentage change in Washington's real GDP (GDP adjusted for inflation), expressed at an annual rate, and each outcome depends on whether that growth exceeds the percentage value specified in the market question for Q4 2026.
Questions and Answers
What does the “Washington quarterly GDP growth in Q4 2026” market ask?
Washington quarterly GDP growth in Q4 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 6.0%” pays $1 if the result is above 6.0%, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 11 thresholds, from “Above 0.0%” to “Above 10.0%”.
What are the current odds for “Washington quarterly GDP growth in Q4 2026”?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:32 pm ET, Lumina’s “Washington quarterly GDP growth in Q4 2026” market prices "Above 6.0%" at 50% and "Above 7.0%" at 42%.
Which range is most likely for “Washington quarterly GDP growth in Q4 2026”?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:32 pm ET, the prices put the result above 3.0% but not above 4.0% at 8%, the most likely band on the ladder.
What does the price of "Above 6.0%" mean in the “Washington quarterly GDP growth in Q4 2026” market?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:32 pm ET, a Yes contract on "Above 6.0%" trades at 50¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 50¢ shows as 50%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.
When does trading close on “Washington quarterly GDP growth in Q4 2026”?
Trading closes and the outcome resolves on Mar 27, 2027, 8:30 am ET, and payout is projected for Mar 27, 2027, 10:30 am ET.
How does “Washington quarterly GDP growth in Q4 2026” resolve, and from which source?
The Bureau of Economic Analysis publishes the deciding value in the “Table SQGDP1. Quarterly GDP by State – Percent Change at Annual Rates From Preceding Period” report for Washington and the relevant quarter. For each listed threshold, the outcome is Yes if the report's corresponding percentage change in real GDP exceeds the value specified in the market question, and No otherwise. The value becomes final on March 27, 2027, when the report is released, subject to any changes or review permitted under the contract terms. The resolution source is Bureau of Economic Analysis.
What are the fees?
In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.
How do I trade “Washington quarterly GDP growth in Q4 2026”?
Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.
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Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.
What is Lumina Markets?
Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.
