Which Party Will Control the House?
Solid D
92%
Democrats
10%
Republicans
232seatsheld or leading195seats
218 for control
2026 House Elections
Prices as of Oct 21, 2026 · 10:24 PM ET
Election Day: November 3, 2026- Solid
- Likely
- Lean
- Toss-Up
- Not up in 2026
- No price yet
House Map
- Solid D85%+
- Likely D70%+
- Lean D55%+
- Toss-UpUnder 55%
- Lean R55%+
- Likely R70%+
- Solid R85%+
- No race in 2026
- No price yet
Prices as of Oct 21, 2026 · 10:24 PM ET · Pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong
Closest House Races
The races priced nearest an even call.
Prices as of Oct 21, 2026 · 10:24 PM ET · Pays $1 if right, $0 if wrongluminamarkets.com
Prices as of Oct 21, 2026 · 10:24 PM ET. Percentages are the last traded Yes price of each contract on ForecastEx, captured at the time shown: a contract at 55¢ shows as 55%. A price is what the market is paying, not a forecast or a recommendation. Races are grouped by price and listed alphabetically; the closest-race lists are ordered by distance from 50%. Neither order ranks one party above another.
Race facts (which seats and candidates are on the ballot, and which party holds each seat) are reference data reviewed by Lumina Markets and are not market data. Candidate names are the contract titles as listed on the exchange.