The National Hurricane Center (NHC), part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), publishes the deciding data in its Tropical Cyclone Archive, where each storm's archive page documents its official history, including its maximum sustained winds. The deciding value is the number of storms in the Atlantic that attain maximum sustained winds of at least 39 mph (34 knots) during 2026, and each storm counts once. The outcome is Yes if that count is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Early resolution applies, so the outcome can resolve Yes as soon as the count passes that value; otherwise it is determined at 11:59 PM CT on the last day of 2026. Revisions published after expiration do not change the outcome, and if the data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC), part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), publishes the deciding data in its Tropical Cyclone Archive, where each storm's archive page documents its official history, including its maximum sustained winds. The deciding value is the number of storms in the Atlantic that attain maximum sustained winds of at least 39 mph (34 knots) during 2026, and each storm counts once. The outcome is Yes if that count is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Early resolution applies, so the outcome can resolve Yes as soon as the count passes that value; otherwise it is determined at 11:59 PM CT on the last day of 2026. Revisions published after expiration do not change the outcome, and if the data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.