The outcome is decided by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) public hurricane advisories. The outcome is Yes for a region if, during 2026, at least one hurricane classified as Category 3 or higher (sustained winds of at least 96 knots) at the time of landfall makes landfall within that region or within 50 miles, in straight-line distance, of any of its borders, and No otherwise. Landfall is where the hurricane's center of circulation (eye) crosses onto land; hurricane-force winds reaching the area while the eye stays offshore do not count. Category and location come from the advisory issued at landfall, or, if NOAA issues no landfall advisory, by interpolating between the last advisory before landfall and the first one after. The outcome can resolve Yes early once a qualifying landfall occurs; otherwise it is determined at 11:59:59 PM CT on December 31, 2026, and if the data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

The outcome is decided by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) public hurricane advisories. The outcome is Yes for a region if, during 2026, at least one hurricane classified as Category 3 or higher (sustained winds of at least 96 knots) at the time of landfall makes landfall within that region or within 50 miles, in straight-line distance, of any of its borders, and No otherwise. Landfall is where the hurricane's center of circulation (eye) crosses onto land; hurricane-force winds reaching the area while the eye stays offshore do not count. Category and location come from the advisory issued at landfall, or, if NOAA issues no landfall advisory, by interpolating between the last advisory before landfall and the first one after. The outcome can resolve Yes early once a qualifying landfall occurs; otherwise it is determined at 11:59:59 PM CT on December 31, 2026, and if the data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.