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Yes65%
No35%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
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© 2026 Lumina Markets

Skip to main content
Help Center (opens in new tab)

Yes65%
No35%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
Privacy PolicyYour Privacy ChoicesTerms of UseLegalHelp Centerhello@luminamarkets.com

© 2026 Lumina Markets

Atlantic Hurricane Count in 2026?
Atlantic Hurricane Count in 2026?
Atlantic Hurricane Count in 2026?
Climate•Disasters

Atlantic Hurricane Count in 2026?

$0 Vol.

Chart

At Least 149%
At Least 314%
At Least 58%
At Least 78%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
HurricaneTropical StormsWeatherAtlantic Hurricane Season

Outcomes

At Least 1
0%49%
At Least 3
0%14%
At Least 5
0%8%
At Least 7
0%8%
At Least 9
0%5%
At Least 11
0%1%
At Least 12
0%1%

Rules

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) publishes the deciding data in its public hurricane advisories for the Atlantic, where each storm's advisory history shows whether it reached Category 1 strength or higher. The deciding value is the number of storms that form in the Atlantic and are classified as Category 1 or higher, with sustained winds of at least 64 knots, during 2026, and each storm counts once. The outcome is Yes if that count is at least the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Early resolution applies, so the outcome can resolve Yes as soon as the count reaches that value; otherwise it is determined at 11:59:59 PM CT on December 31, 2026, and if the data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

Market rules (opens in new tab)

About

Tropical cyclones are classified by their maximum sustained wind speed, from tropical storms at the low end to major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher. The measure is the number of hurricanes that form in the Atlantic in 2026, counting each storm that reaches Category 1 or higher, with sustained winds of at least 64 knots.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Related

Atlantic Hurricane Count in 2026?
Atlantic Hurricane Count in 2026?
Atlantic Hurricane Count in 2026?
Climate•Disasters

Atlantic Hurricane Count in 2026?

$0 Vol.

Chart

At Least 149%
At Least 314%
At Least 58%
At Least 78%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
HurricaneTropical StormsWeatherAtlantic Hurricane Season

Outcomes

At Least 1
0%49%
At Least 3
0%14%
At Least 5
0%8%
At Least 7
0%8%
At Least 9
0%5%
At Least 11
0%1%
At Least 12
0%1%

Rules

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) publishes the deciding data in its public hurricane advisories for the Atlantic, where each storm's advisory history shows whether it reached Category 1 strength or higher. The deciding value is the number of storms that form in the Atlantic and are classified as Category 1 or higher, with sustained winds of at least 64 knots, during 2026, and each storm counts once. The outcome is Yes if that count is at least the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Early resolution applies, so the outcome can resolve Yes as soon as the count reaches that value; otherwise it is determined at 11:59:59 PM CT on December 31, 2026, and if the data is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

Market rules (opens in new tab)

About

Tropical cyclones are classified by their maximum sustained wind speed, from tropical storms at the low end to major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher. The measure is the number of hurricanes that form in the Atlantic in 2026, counting each storm that reaches Category 1 or higher, with sustained winds of at least 64 knots.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Related