The outcome is decided by the target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate set by the Bank of Japan's Policy Board, as stated in the first paragraph of the Monetary Policy Statement for the Monetary Policy Meeting on December 18, 2026. The statement is typically released between 11:45 AM and 1:00 PM Japan time on that date, which is 9:45 PM to 11:00 PM CT on the previous day. The change is measured in basis points against the target in effect immediately before that announcement, and a decision that leaves the target unchanged counts as no change. The outcome is Yes if the change matches the move specified in the market question, either a direction (raise, no change, or lower) or a specific size of change, and No otherwise. The outcome is decided at 9:45 PM CT (10:45 PM CT during daylight saving time) on the day before December 18, 2026, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

The outcome is decided by the target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate set by the Bank of Japan's Policy Board, as stated in the first paragraph of the Monetary Policy Statement for the Monetary Policy Meeting on December 18, 2026. The statement is typically released between 11:45 AM and 1:00 PM Japan time on that date, which is 9:45 PM to 11:00 PM CT on the previous day. The change is measured in basis points against the target in effect immediately before that announcement, and a decision that leaves the target unchanged counts as no change. The outcome is Yes if the change matches the move specified in the market question, either a direction (raise, no change, or lower) or a specific size of change, and No otherwise. The outcome is decided at 9:45 PM CT (10:45 PM CT during daylight saving time) on the day before December 18, 2026, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.