The outcome is decided by the interest rate on the deposit facility, listed under Key ECB interest rates in the monetary policy decisions press release the European Central Bank publishes after the Governing Council meeting ending on December 17, 2026. The outcome is Yes if that rate is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is final when the ECB publishes that press release, typically at 2:15 PM Central European Time (7:15 AM CT, or 8:15 AM CT when CT and CET are offset by daylight saving time), early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

The outcome is decided by the interest rate on the deposit facility, listed under Key ECB interest rates in the monetary policy decisions press release the European Central Bank publishes after the Governing Council meeting ending on December 17, 2026. The outcome is Yes if that rate is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is final when the ECB publishes that press release, typically at 2:15 PM Central European Time (7:15 AM CT, or 8:15 AM CT when CT and CET are offset by daylight saving time), early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.