Yes65%
No35%
Sep 14Sep 21Sep 29Oct 6Oct 14
100%75%50%25%0%
The deciding source is the California Legislative Tracking System, including its bill status pages and session law compilations, which are typically updated on the same day or the following business day after gubernatorial action or other enactment steps. The outcome is Yes if that official source records that a bill has become law and explicitly establishes legalization of the subject named in the market question within California, through statutory text that removes prior prohibitions, creates affirmative state authorization, or directs state agencies to regulate the subject in a way that enables lawful statewide operation. Executive orders, agency regulations, judicial rulings, municipal ordinances, and partial decriminalization do not count, and neither do measures that only fund studies, create temporary exceptions, or delegate action without establishing statewide legal authority. If no qualifying law is enacted by the end of 2026, the outcome is No, and the outcome can resolve early once a qualifying law is enacted. If the official record is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
State legalization establishes lawful authority for an activity under that state's law, by removing prior prohibitions, creating affirmative state authorization, or directing state agencies to regulate the activity so it can operate lawfully statewide. The event is whether the subject named in the market question, such as robotaxis, is legalized in California through a bill that becomes law by the end of 2026.
The deciding source is the California Legislative Tracking System, including its bill status pages and session law compilations, which are typically updated on the same day or the following business day after gubernatorial action or other enactment steps. The outcome is Yes if that official source records that a bill has become law and explicitly establishes legalization of the subject named in the market question within California, through statutory text that removes prior prohibitions, creates affirmative state authorization, or directs state agencies to regulate the subject in a way that enables lawful statewide operation. Executive orders, agency regulations, judicial rulings, municipal ordinances, and partial decriminalization do not count, and neither do measures that only fund studies, create temporary exceptions, or delegate action without establishing statewide legal authority. If no qualifying law is enacted by the end of 2026, the outcome is No, and the outcome can resolve early once a qualifying law is enacted. If the official record is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
State legalization establishes lawful authority for an activity under that state's law, by removing prior prohibitions, creating affirmative state authorization, or directing state agencies to regulate the activity so it can operate lawfully statewide. The event is whether the subject named in the market question, such as robotaxis, is legalized in California through a bill that becomes law by the end of 2026.