Yes65%
No35%
Sep 27Oct 5Oct 12Oct 20Oct 27
100%75%50%25%0%
The deciding value is the headline month-over-month percentage change in the New Housing Price Index for Canada, released by Statistics Canada for December 2026. The outcome is Yes if the reported change is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when Statistics Canada publishes the index at 7:30 AM CT, typically in the third week of the month after December 2026. Early resolution does not apply, and if Statistics Canada delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.
The New Housing Price Index tracks changes in the prices of new homes in Canada. The event is its month-over-month percentage change for December 2026.