The deciding value is the monthly U-3 unemployment rate, total unemployment as a percent of the civilian labor force, published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) in The Employment Situation report for December 2026. The outcome is Yes if the reported rate is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when BLS publishes The Employment Situation at 7:30 AM CT, typically on the third Friday after the end of the reference week that includes the 12th of the month. Early resolution does not apply, and if BLS delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.

The deciding value is the monthly U-3 unemployment rate, total unemployment as a percent of the civilian labor force, published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) in The Employment Situation report for December 2026. The outcome is Yes if the reported rate is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when BLS publishes The Employment Situation at 7:30 AM CT, typically on the third Friday after the end of the reference week that includes the 12th of the month. Early resolution does not apply, and if BLS delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.