Canada Unemployment Rate in November 2026?

Canada Unemployment Rate in November 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 6.6%” pays $1 if the result is above 6.6%, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 8 thresholds, from “Above 5.8%” to “Above 7.2%”.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 8:52 am ET, Lumina’s “Canada Unemployment Rate in November 2026” market prices "Above 6.6%" at 60% and "Above 6.8%" at 30%.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 8:52 am ET, "Above 6.6%" is at 60%, level with the prior trading day’s close.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 8:52 am ET, the prices put the result above 6.6% but not above 6.8% at 30%, the most likely band on the ladder.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 8:52 am ET, a Yes contract on "Above 6.6%" trades at 60¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 60¢ shows as 60%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

As of Nov 13, 2026, 8:52 am ET, open interest is $3.2K, and $623 has traded in the current session.

Trading closes and the outcome resolves on Dec 4, 2026, 8:30 am ET, and payout is projected for Dec 4, 2026, 10:30 am ET.

The outcome is decided by the monthly unemployment rate for Canada for November 2026, as published by Statistics Canada, using the rate stated in the first paragraph of its monthly Labour Force Survey release, typically published at 7:30 AM CT on the first non-holiday Friday of the following month. The outcome is Yes if that rate is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is determined from that first release when it is published, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. The resolution source is Statistics Canada.

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Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.

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