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Canada Unemployment Rate in January 2027?

Chart

Above 6.0%—
Above 6.2%—
Above 6.4%—
Above 6.6%—
Oct 12Oct 20Oct 27Nov 4Nov 11
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Above 6.0%
0%—
Above 6.2%
0%—
Above 6.4%
0%—
Above 6.6%
0%—
Above 6.8%
0%—
Above 7.0%
0%—

Rules

The outcome is decided by the monthly unemployment rate for Canada for January 2027, as published by Statistics Canada, using the rate stated in the first paragraph of its monthly Labour Force Survey release, typically published at 7:30 AM CT on the first non-holiday Friday of the following month. The outcome is Yes if that rate is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is determined from that first release when it is published, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

About

The unemployment rate is the share of the labor force that is out of work and looking for a job. The measure is the unemployment rate for Canada in January 2027, expressed as the number of unemployed people as a percentage of the labor force.

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