Dallas Daily Temperature Low on November 15, 2026?

Dallas Daily Temperature Low on November 15, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Below 45” pays $1 if the result is below 45, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 11 thresholds, from “Below 40” to “Below 50”.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:53 pm ET, Lumina’s “Dallas Daily Temperature Low on November 15, 2026” market prices "Below 45" at 82% and "Below 44" at 48%.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:53 pm ET, a Yes contract on "Below 45" trades at 82¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 82¢ shows as 82%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 9:53 pm ET, open interest is $60, and $140 has traded in the current session.

Trading closes on Nov 16, 2026, 12:59 am ET. The outcome resolves on Nov 16, 2026, 2:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 16, 2026, 4:00 am ET.

This market resolves against the lowest daily temperature recorded for the designated Dallas station in the Daily Observations table under the History tab's Daily view on Weather Underground (https://www.wunderground.com) for November 15, 2026. If Weather Underground's website is temporarily unavailable, contract resolution will occur once access to the complete daily temperature data for the applicable station and date is restored. The resolution source is Weather Underground.

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