Dow Futures Price on November 16, 2026?

Dow Futures Price on November 16, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 52,400” pays $1 if the result is above 52,400, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 13 thresholds, from “Above 51,000” to “Above 53,400”.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:21 am ET, Lumina’s “Dow Futures Price on November 16, 2026” market prices "Above 52,400" at 69% and "Above 53,000" at 7%.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:21 am ET, the prices put the result above 52,200 but not above 52,400 at 12%, the most likely band on the ladder.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:21 am ET, a Yes contract on "Above 52,400" trades at 69¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 69¢ shows as 69%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

Trading closes on Nov 16, 2026, 4:00 pm ET. The outcome resolves on Nov 17, 2026, 11:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 17, 2026, 1:00 pm ET.

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) publishes the deciding data, which is the CME daily settlement price on November 16, 2026 of the E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index futures contract month specified in the market question, which is the lead month, or the second month on a day when the lead month goes through final settlement. The outcome is Yes if that settlement price is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when CME makes the final version of its daily settlement bulletin for November 16, 2026 available, at 10:00 AM CT on the next business day, early resolution does not apply, and if the settlement bulletin is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. The resolution source is ForecastEx.

In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.

Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.

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Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.