Chart
Outcomes
Rules
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) publishes the deciding data, which is the CME daily settlement price, on November 16, 2026, of the E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index futures contract month specified in the market question, which is the lead month, or the second month on a day when the lead month goes through final settlement. The outcome is Yes if that settlement price is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when CME makes the final version of its daily settlement bulletin for that date available, at 10:00 AM CT on the next business day, early resolution does not apply, and if the settlement bulletin is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
About
The Nasdaq-100 is a stock index that tracks 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market. The event is the daily settlement price of E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index Futures, electronically traded contracts sized at a fraction of the standard Nasdaq-100 futures contract, for a set contract month on November 16, 2026.
Questions and Answers
What does the “Nasdaq-100 Futures Settlement Price on November 16, 2026” market ask?
Nasdaq-100 Futures Settlement Price on November 16, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 27,000” pays $1 if the result is above 27,000, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 19 thresholds, from “Above 27,000” to “Above 28,800”.
What does a Yes contract pay, and what does its price mean?
Each percentage is a contract’s last traded price. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so one trading at 62¢ shows as 62%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.
How active is the “Nasdaq-100 Futures Settlement Price on November 16, 2026” market?
As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:21 am ET, open interest is $343, and $556 has traded in the current session.
When does trading close on “Nasdaq-100 Futures Settlement Price on November 16, 2026”?
Trading closes on Nov 16, 2026, 4:00 pm ET. The outcome resolves on Nov 17, 2026, 11:00 am ET, and payout is projected for Nov 17, 2026, 1:00 pm ET.
How does “Nasdaq-100 Futures Settlement Price on November 16, 2026” resolve, and from which source?
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) publishes the deciding data, which is the CME daily settlement price, on November 16, 2026, of the E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index futures contract month specified in the market question, which is the lead month, or the second month on a day when the lead month goes through final settlement. The outcome is Yes if that settlement price is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when CME makes the final version of its daily settlement bulletin for that date available, at 10:00 AM CT on the next business day, early resolution does not apply, and if the settlement bulletin is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. The resolution source is ForecastEx.
What are the fees?
In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.
How do I trade “Nasdaq-100 Futures Settlement Price on November 16, 2026”?
Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.
Can I follow this market without trading?
Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.
What is Lumina Markets?
Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.
