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ECB Deposit Facility Rate at the February 4, 2027 Meeting?

Chart

Above 2.0%—
Above 2.25%—
Above 2.5%—
Above 2.75%—
Oct 12Oct 20Oct 27Nov 4Nov 11
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Above 2.0%
0%—
Above 2.25%
0%—
Above 2.5%
0%—
Above 2.75%
0%—
Above 3.0%
0%—

Rules

The outcome is decided by the interest rate on the deposit facility, listed under Key ECB interest rates in the monetary policy decisions press release the European Central Bank publishes after the Governing Council meeting ending on February 4, 2027. The outcome is Yes if that rate is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is final when the ECB publishes that press release, typically at 2:15 PM Central European Time (7:15 AM CT, or 8:15 AM CT when CT and CET are offset by daylight saving time), early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.

About

The European Central Bank's deposit facility rate is one of its key policy interest rates, and it is the rate banks earn on overnight deposits they place with the central bank. The measure is the level of the deposit facility rate set by the ECB Governing Council at its monetary policy meeting ending on February 4, 2027, expressed as an annual percentage rate.

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