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No35%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
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© 2026 Lumina Markets

Skip to main content
Help Center (opens in new tab)

Yes65%
No35%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
Privacy PolicyYour Privacy ChoicesTerms of UseLegalHelp Centerhello@luminamarkets.com

© 2026 Lumina Markets

NIO Allowed to Sell Cars in the US by December 2026?
NIO Allowed to Sell Cars in the US by December 2026?
NIO Allowed to Sell Cars in the US by December 2026?
Politics•World

NIO Allowed to Sell Cars in the US by December 2026?

$0 Vol.

Chart

By Dec 31, 20260%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
ChinaUsAutomotive RetailGeopoliticsElectric VehiclesTrade PolicyChinese Automakers

Outcomes

Y
Yes
$0 Vol.
No
$0 Vol.
N
0%0%
0%100%

Rules

The outcome is decided by official confirmation of a regulatory decision allowing NIO to sell cars in the US, such as a government ruling or publication, a regulatory approval or filing, a court decision, or the lifting of a ban. The outcome is Yes if such an official confirmation occurs by the end of December 2026 and No otherwise. The outcome can resolve Yes early once the allowance is officially confirmed; otherwise it is determined at 11:59 PM CT on the last day of December 2026. If the source delays publishing information needed for resolution, resolution waits until it is published.

Market rules (opens in new tab)

About

Sales of cars by Chinese automakers in the US are subject to federal trade, security, and regulatory decisions. The measure is whether NIO, a Chinese electric vehicle maker, is allowed to sell its cars in the US by the end of December 2026.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Related

NIO Allowed to Sell Cars in the US by December 2026?
NIO Allowed to Sell Cars in the US by December 2026?
NIO Allowed to Sell Cars in the US by December 2026?
Politics•World

NIO Allowed to Sell Cars in the US by December 2026?

$0 Vol.

Chart

By Dec 31, 20260%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
ChinaUsAutomotive RetailGeopoliticsElectric VehiclesTrade PolicyChinese Automakers

Outcomes

Y
Yes
$0 Vol.
No
$0 Vol.
N
0%0%
0%100%

Rules

The outcome is decided by official confirmation of a regulatory decision allowing NIO to sell cars in the US, such as a government ruling or publication, a regulatory approval or filing, a court decision, or the lifting of a ban. The outcome is Yes if such an official confirmation occurs by the end of December 2026 and No otherwise. The outcome can resolve Yes early once the allowance is officially confirmed; otherwise it is determined at 11:59 PM CT on the last day of December 2026. If the source delays publishing information needed for resolution, resolution waits until it is published.

Market rules (opens in new tab)

About

Sales of cars by Chinese automakers in the US are subject to federal trade, security, and regulatory decisions. The measure is whether NIO, a Chinese electric vehicle maker, is allowed to sell its cars in the US by the end of December 2026.

Read full Terms and Conditions (opens in new tab)

Related