Yes65%
No35%
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 16Sep 24Oct 2
100%75%50%25%0%
The outcome is decided by official confirmation of a regulatory decision allowing NIO to sell cars in the US, such as a government ruling or publication, a regulatory approval or filing, a court decision, or the lifting of a ban. The outcome is Yes if such an official confirmation occurs by the end of December 2026 and No otherwise. The outcome can resolve Yes early once the allowance is officially confirmed; otherwise it is determined at 11:59 PM CT on the last day of December 2026. If the source delays publishing information needed for resolution, resolution waits until it is published.
Sales of cars by Chinese automakers in the US are subject to federal trade, security, and regulatory decisions. The measure is whether NIO, a Chinese electric vehicle maker, is allowed to sell its cars in the US by the end of December 2026.
The outcome is decided by official confirmation of a regulatory decision allowing NIO to sell cars in the US, such as a government ruling or publication, a regulatory approval or filing, a court decision, or the lifting of a ban. The outcome is Yes if such an official confirmation occurs by the end of December 2026 and No otherwise. The outcome can resolve Yes early once the allowance is officially confirmed; otherwise it is determined at 11:59 PM CT on the last day of December 2026. If the source delays publishing information needed for resolution, resolution waits until it is published.
Sales of cars by Chinese automakers in the US are subject to federal trade, security, and regulatory decisions. The measure is whether NIO, a Chinese electric vehicle maker, is allowed to sell its cars in the US by the end of December 2026.