The deciding information comes from official statements by the candidate or their campaign, official campaign websites, filings with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), and reporting from reputable national and local news media. A qualifying declaration is the first public statement by the candidate or their authorized campaign declaring a run for President of the United States, such as an official campaign announcement, or a filing with the FEC; statements by third parties, media reports, exploratory committees, or other signs of a potential run do not count unless accompanied by an official statement from the candidate or an FEC filing. The outcome is Yes if the person named in the market question makes a qualifying declaration on or before December 31, 2026 and No otherwise, and it may be determined early once a declaration is made, otherwise becoming final at 11:59 PM CT on December 31, 2026. If the source delays publishing information needed for resolution, resolution waits until it is published.

The deciding information comes from official statements by the candidate or their campaign, official campaign websites, filings with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), and reporting from reputable national and local news media. A qualifying declaration is the first public statement by the candidate or their authorized campaign declaring a run for President of the United States, such as an official campaign announcement, or a filing with the FEC; statements by third parties, media reports, exploratory committees, or other signs of a potential run do not count unless accompanied by an official statement from the candidate or an FEC filing. The outcome is Yes if the person named in the market question makes a qualifying declaration on or before December 31, 2026 and No otherwise, and it may be determined early once a declaration is made, otherwise becoming final at 11:59 PM CT on December 31, 2026. If the source delays publishing information needed for resolution, resolution waits until it is published.