Chart
Outcomes
Rules
The outcome is decided by the weekly national average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage interest rate in Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey, shown under US 30-Year FRM in its weekly dataset, for the week ending November 26, 2026. The outcome is Yes if that rate is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is determined when Freddie Mac publishes the survey, on Thursdays at 11:00 AM CT, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published.
About
A mortgage rate is the interest rate a lender charges on a loan used to buy a home. The measure is the national average interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage in the US for the week ending November 26, 2026.
Questions and Answers
What does the “US 30-Year Mortgage Rate for the Week Ending November 26, 2026” market ask?
US 30-Year Mortgage Rate for the Week Ending November 26, 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 6.7” pays $1 if the result is above 6.7, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 11 thresholds, from “Above 6.7” to “Above 7.7”.
What does a Yes contract pay, and what does its price mean?
Each percentage is a contract’s last traded price. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so one trading at 62¢ shows as 62%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.
When does trading close on “US 30-Year Mortgage Rate for the Week Ending November 26, 2026”?
Trading closes and the outcome resolves on Nov 26, 2026, 12:00 pm ET, and payout is projected for Nov 26, 2026, 2:00 pm ET.
How does “US 30-Year Mortgage Rate for the Week Ending November 26, 2026” resolve, and from which source?
The outcome is decided by the weekly national average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage interest rate in Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey, shown under US 30-Year FRM in its weekly dataset, for the week ending November 26, 2026. The outcome is Yes if that rate is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The outcome is determined when Freddie Mac publishes the survey, on Thursdays at 11:00 AM CT, early resolution does not apply, and if the release is delayed, resolution waits until it is published. The resolution source is Freddie Mac.
What are the fees?
In addition, Lumina charges a commission equal to 0.35% of the trade value each time you buy or sell contracts, charged at the time of execution on top of the ForecastEx transaction fee. The trade value is the contract price multiplied by the number of contracts. For example, if you buy 100 contracts at $0.40, the trade value is $40.00: you pay $1.00 to ForecastEx and $0.14 to Lumina, or $1.14 in total. Interactive Brokers LLC, which carries your account, retains a portion of Lumina’s commission. Lumina receives a rebate equal to one-quarter (25% or $0.0025) of the ForecastEx transaction fee. This rebate is Lumina’s share of the exchange’s transaction fee. It is not a separate or additional charge added on top of what the customer pays. The Fee Disclosure lists every charge.
How do I trade “US 30-Year Mortgage Rate for the Week Ending November 26, 2026”?
Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.
Can I follow this market without trading?
Yes. Sign in and choose Add to watchlist on this page. The market then stays in your Watchlist with its price.
What is Lumina Markets?
Lumina Markets is a prediction market platform and a CFTC-registered introducing broker (NFA ID 0576536), providing access to event contracts listed on a CFTC-regulated designated contract market. Prediction Market Contracts are listed and traded on ForecastEx, LLC (“ForecastEx”), the CFTC-regulated designated contract market.
