US CPI Year-Over-Year Change in November 2026?

US CPI Year-Over-Year Change in November 2026? Each outcome is a threshold: Yes on “Above 3.7%” pays $1 if the result is above 3.7%, and No pays $1 if it isn’t. The market lists 31 thresholds, from “Above 1.3%” to “Above 4.3%”.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:07 pm ET, Lumina’s “US CPI Year-Over-Year Change in November 2026” market prices "Above 3.7%" at 62% and "Above 3.8%" at 28%.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:07 pm ET, "Above 3.7%" is at 62%, up 9 points from the prior trading day’s close.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:07 pm ET, the prices put the result above 3.7% but not above 3.8% at 34%, the most likely band on the ladder.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:07 pm ET, a Yes contract on "Above 3.7%" trades at 62¢. Every contract pays $1 if right, $0 if wrong, so 62¢ shows as 62%: the market’s implied probability that it happens. It’s what traders are paying, not a poll or a forecast.

As of Nov 14, 2026, 10:07 pm ET, open interest is $32K, and $6 has traded in the current session.

Trading closes and the outcome resolves on Dec 10, 2026, 8:30 am ET, and payout is projected for Dec 10, 2026, 10:30 am ET.

The deciding value is the year-over-year percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) in its monthly Consumer Price Index report for November 2026. The outcome is Yes if the reported change is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the initial release counts: the value becomes final when BLS publishes the report at 7:30 AM CT, and later revisions do not change the outcome. Early resolution does not apply, and if BLS delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published. The resolution source is U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

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Pick an outcome, choose Yes or No, and enter an amount in the trade panel on this page. Orders route to Interactive Brokers and execute on ForecastEx. Available to US persons only. You must be at least 21, a US resident, and an eligible client of Interactive Brokers LLC, with identity and residency verified. Interactive Brokers determines eligibility.

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