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US CPI Year-Over-Year Change in January 2027?

Chart

Above 3.2%—
Above 3.4%—
Above 3.6%—
Above 3.8%—
Oct 11Oct 18Oct 26Nov 2Nov 10
100%75%50%25%0%

Outcomes

Above 3.2%
0%—
Above 3.4%
0%—
Above 3.6%
0%—
Above 3.8%
0%—
Above 4.0%
0%—
Above 4.2%
0%—
Above 4.4%
0%—
Above 4.6%
0%—
Above 4.8%
0%—

Rules

The deciding value is the year-over-year percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) in its monthly Consumer Price Index report for January 2027. The outcome is Yes if the reported change is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. Only the initial release counts: the value becomes final when BLS publishes the report at 7:30 AM CT, and later revisions do not change the outcome. Early resolution does not apply, and if BLS delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.

About

The Consumer Price Index tracks the average change over time in the prices paid by US urban consumers for a market basket of goods and services. The event is the year-over-year percentage change in the index for January 2027.

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