Yes65%
No35%
Sep 20Sep 28Oct 5Oct 13Oct 20
100%75%50%25%0%

The deciding value is the Index of Consumer Sentiment in the University of Michigan's monthly Final Results report for January 2027; the preliminary reading does not count. The outcome is Yes if the final index is above the value specified in the market question and No otherwise. The value becomes final when the University of Michigan publishes the Final Results at 9:00 AM CT, typically on the last Friday of the month. Early resolution does not apply, and if the University of Michigan delays the release, resolution waits until the data is published.
Consumer sentiment is a measure of how US households view their finances and the economy. The index is built from surveys of random samples of US households, and the event is its reading for January 2027.